Following a week off, the 2019 NASCAR season continues on Sunday in Sonoma Raceway for its 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350. NASCAR in Sonoma is a departure from the norm for NASCAR, since the California monitor is a 12-turn, 2.52-mile road course instead of an oval. For years, NASCAR would be overrun by road-course specialists when they would take on these challenges but top motorists use these events to try and display their versatility. Kevin Harvick won this race 2017 and ended second in 2018 to give him four consecutive finishes of sixth or better at Sonoma. He’s the 7-2 favored in the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds. Defending champion Martin Truex Jr. is just supporting him at 9-2, while seven drivers total are recorded at 10-1 or better. But before you create your 2019 Toyota/Save Mart selections, make sure to take a look at the NASCAR in Sonoma forecasts and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.
The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Additionally, it called Kyle Busch’s enormous win at Bristol. Furthermore, it had Coca-Cola 600 winner Martin Truex Jr. in its upper two and then nailed Kyle Busch’s win at Pocono.
It also made some enormous calls last year, including correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. It also nailed three of the top four finishers in Michigan and two of the top four at the Daytona 500. Is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at venues like Sonoma Raceway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Toyota/Save Mart 350 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For NASCAR at Sonoma 2019, we could tell you the model is top on Ryan Blaney, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot at 25-1. The 25-year-old was running well recent seasons. He has finished within the top 10 in the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup standings the past two seasons and sits in ninth place at this time with four top-five finishes on the year.
Blaney finished ninth at Sonoma two seasons ago and also has a top-10 complete at Watkins Glen, yet another road course on the NASCAR circuit. But he really proved himself as a street course racer when he won the road course race in Charlotte last season, which was the last street course race NASCAR ran. If he can assemble a complete race on Sunday, he’ll have a fantastic chance to fly up the NASCAR at Sonoma leaderboard.
Along with a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, the Vegas favored at 7-2, makes a powerful run but falls short of this title. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR at Sonoma lineup.
Harvick won this event in 2017 and finished second to Truex last season, but he’s had a tough time getting all the way into the front despite being one of the favorites in nearly every race this year. In fact, Harvick hasn’t finished better than fourth place in a race all season and he’s had three finishes outside the top 20 completely. In his past two road races of last year at Watkins Glen and Charlotte, he hardly was able to crack the top 10, so there are lots of reasons to fade Harvick on Sunday.
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